Notable Week 5 Nuggets

  • Alright we are four weeks into the season so things are starting to take shape.
    • Looking at “The Points For” standings, there are three teams that seem to be above the rest.
      • Tom McLaughlin has the most points in the league with 533.74. His only loss to Lobo last week where he only put up 72.56 points. Says something that his team still has the most points when he had a dud of a week.
      • Matthew Buzzi has the second most points in the league with 509.2 Helped out by the second biggest scoring effort this past week against your boy, Buzzi also rebounded from a loss in week three when scoring was down all the way around.
      • Jimmy Simon is third in most points scored with 503.24. He has had to deal with some close matchups, dealing with the most points against of the top-ranked teams, but he has won two straight and has made only one roster move.
    • Looking at “The Points Against” standings…
      • Myself, the commissioner, has had the most points scored against me at 520.12. I am sitting at 2-2 so I guess that I am lucky to be that? But I still don’t think my team is inherently very strong.
        • I am having 130.03 points scored against me on average. For comparison, Tommy, who has the least amount of points scored against him, has 99.62 average points scored against him.
      • Ritz has the second most points scored against him with 513.22. Tough start to the quarter way point for Ritz, but the luck has to turn around.
      • McGinnity has the third most points scored against him with 505.9. He is 1-3 thus far on the season and has lost two straight.
    • Of the playoff percentages, the four atop the standings are all 59% or higher.
      • Tom, in first place, has a 73% chance according to ESPN. Buzzi in second is at 70%, Jimmy in third is at 58% while his brother in fourth place is at 59%.
      • Of those who are not in the postseason now, the best chance to reach the playoffs resides with me at 35%, but followed closely by Steve at 34% and Lobo at 33%.
  • Rather boring week four in terms of the scores.
    • No games came down to Monday night any drama.
    • The closest margin of victory was Jimmy over Ronan at 8.5 points.
    • The average margin of victory was 35.836 points this week. BOOOOO, let’s have closer games!
Points Scored Compared To Projected Through Week Three
  1. My Glockz Out (+29.84)
  2. Ek’s Gonna Give It To Ya (+20.8)
  3. Country Roads Take Mahomes (+18.04)
  4. Hotel, Motel, Golladay Inn (+6.76)
  5. Lights, Kamara, Jackson (-2.78)
  6. Ooooo Jeudy James Jeudy (-12.02)
  7. My Own Worst Etiennemy (-28.4)
  8. The Bourne Supremacy (-29.92)
  9. Keke, Coutee Luv Me (-47.22)
  10. Dirty Mike And The Boys (-99.64)

Week 5 Matchup Recap

My Own Worst Etiennemy (124.76) defeats Dirty Mike And The boys (75.86)

Steve’s team has arisen. After an 0-2 start, the fantasy football gods have begun to not see Steve as an Etiennemy, but rather as a Friennemy.

What is the key to Steve’s turnaround? Perhaps not playing his team’s namesake anymore? Travis Etienne Jr. has been put on the bench and his entire team has responded. Derrick Henry, after scoring a combined 16.7 points in the first two weeks, has reemerged with back-to-back 22+ point weeks. The Eagles defense has become a revelation, surely not something that Steve could have counted on. Philly’s defense and special teams outscored Jalen Hurts this week; another thing nobody saw coming.

Steve and I were talking about Damien Harris and how he is just a steady flex. He may be getting more playing time than James Conner who hasn’t scored double-digits since week one.

Also never a bad thing when Daniel Carlson gets 14.0 points from the kicker spot.

Question for the crew. What amount of points from a kicker is considered a very good substantial amount?

For Ritz, is his season on life support?

The only player on his team was the rookie Dameon Pierce who scored 22.9 points, helped by by a major massive run single run. Drake London, fellow rookie, had his lowest output of the season on Atlanta, and that was in part do to Ritz’s starting fantasy quarterback Marcus Mariota. Somehow he only scored 3.86 points with 202 rushing yards. Marioata only only three yards rushing. Very bad. no good.

Also Devonta Smith only getting 3.2 points after putting up back-to-back double-digit points weeks is tough. Is Smith going to be a feast or famine guy? Ultimate boom or bust?

Robert Tonyan gave him a touchdown which her me on a personal level.

Ritz needs to get Dak Prescott back, trust in Chris Olave (though I totally understand sitting him in London with Andy Dalton) and hope that Kenny Pickens picks things up for Diontae Johnson.

The MVP of this matchup is going to be Derrick Henry for Steve. I thought this was a risky pick, but if the tractor trailer is going to be healthy and managing a strong workload, then he is can keep Steve’s team afloat very well.

Also random thought. Steve has three defenses. That is a little weird, but hey, it works.

Steve has now won two games in a row to improve to 2-2 while Ritz continues to slide remaining winless at 0-4.

Ek’s Gonna Give It To Ya (172.7) Defeats The Bourne Supremacy (110.4)

Buzzi was in absolute cruise control with this matchup. It was a big matchup seeing how we were both 2-1 entering the game, but the better team came out on top. Justin Herbert and Austin Ekeler combined for 53 points. That is pretty fucking good. And oh, Rashaad Penny put forward 28.2 points. Is he taking the crazy performance enhancing mojo that Geno Smith is? What is happening in the NFC West?? The points fiesta between Seattle and Detroit also benefited DK Metcalf who had 18.4 points, which is his best output of the season.

Buzzi had Ekeler, Metcalf and Penny all put forward their best games of the year. It is really hard to beat a team when that happens.

Extra salt in the wound is Travis Kelce scoring 40 seconds into the Sunday Night Football game. Just kick me while I am down even further.

For myself, it was a long road for me when Ja’Marr Chase and Jaylen Waddle both underperformed their expectations on Thursday night football. Now I have to worry about Waddle with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. Marquise Brown has performed well for me two weeks in a row, but does anyone trust the Cardinals, because I certainly do not.

Am I allowed to sit in the pouting corner for a second? I lost Trey Lance to a season ending injury so now I am without the QB I drafted first. I also have lost my RB1 now with Javonte Williams going down with an ACL injury. My running backs are now Jeff Wilson Jr. Ezekiel Elliot, Tony Pollard and Rhamondre Stevenson. I am going to be playing whack-a-mole trying to figure out which one is the best to play on a week by week basis.

The MVP of this matchup is the Detroit Lions defense. They are on nobodies roster, and for good reason. In what world did anyone expect the Seattle Seahawks to score 48 points in a football game? Anyone? It was a scoragami too, the 48-45 final. Rashaad Penny and DK Metcalf going nuclear added a ton of extra cushion in what would have been a closer win. They are a major reason Buzzi out scored his team projected…which was only 118.8 points.

Buzzi put up the second most points in a single matchup this season. Tom McLaughlin scored 173.22 in week one against Ritz.

Buzzi improves to 3-1 and I fall to 2-2.

Hotel, Motel, Golladay Inn (140.08) vs. Keke, Coutee Luv Me (107.72)

Tommy Simon got off to a great start on Thursday night with Joe Burrow scoring 20.08 points and carrying the Bengals to a win. He was also helped by Christain McCaffrey being active and being a receptions magnet. Honestly, McCaffrey only had 27 yards rushing on eight rush attempts (his lowest of the season), but he had nine receptions for 81 yards and a touchdown.

Tommy just got great performances all around. Nick Chubb with 19.7 points and CeeDee Lamb with 18.7 points. Cortland Sutton managed double-digit points despite Russell Wilson being a fool. T-Si shoudl really have zero complaints. His team is just very solid and they put together a very good week.

For Lobo, he was bit by an injury and a serial under performer thus far this year. Honestly, is Kyle Pitts going to do anything for Atlanta? Predicted to be the TE3 of this season, he only has one game with double-digit points, and the rest of the weeks he has 2.9, 2.9 and 3,0. Yikes.

I don’t want to make Jonathan Taylor the MVP because he got hurt and that is mean to do. I have done it before, but not this time. Tommy just has to consider himself very lucky that Taylor went down early and scored only 2.8 points. Whether or not Lobo has Taylor going forward will be a huge variable in Lobo’s success. He has Chase Edmonds, Antonio Gibson and Kenneth Gainwell as backup RB2 options, but none have the same upside as Taylor.

Taylor plays on Thursday night this upcoming week against the Denver Broncos. What a barn-burner with both teams losing their top and most talented running backs.

The most valuable player for this matchup is Jamaal Williams of the Detroit Lions. The backup to D’Andre Swift scored 23.4 points in part of a shootout (an unexpected one) against the Seattle. If Swift is out long turn, then Tommy is in fantastic shape. He has over 23 points in back to back weeks, and next week he plays my New England Patriots so I can’t wait to lose to Tommy’s happiness back-to-back weeks.

Tommy Simon has won three in a row since losing a heartbreak in week one while Lobo falls to .500.

My Glockz out (129.78) defeats Ooooo Jeudy James Jeudy (102.64)

Tom McLaughlin has a pretty good fantasy football team, and that is even with the upstart Tua Tagovailoa in the center of the NFL, doctors and media members being dumb-dumbs. In theory, what a move by Tom to not play Tua this week. It would be a about a 20 points difference, which would have still gotten him the win, but there would have been some major trepidation heading into Monday night with George Kittle going.

Here is something I have to ask. Is George Kittle still a viable starting fantasy tight end? He is undeniably one of the best overall tight ends in the game, but in his two games this year he has a total of 8.2 points. McGinnity may be asking the same question.

McLaughlin drafted two stud wide receivers, and that is exactly what he got. Justin Jefferson scored 26.0 points early on Sunday morning to get him off to a good start. Before that Tyreek Hill scored 20.9 points on Thursday to get him off to an ever better start.

Kyler Murray had his third 20+ scoring output of the season and bounced back from a sub par week three effort. Saquon Barkley is still being a healthy monster and scored 17.2 points, which is someone below his projected.

For McGinnity, he has to be cursing out the Detroit defense. Negative eight points. Negative. Eight. Points. Even if he had zero points from this defense, that would be a 110.64 points, which would have put him over Tom if he had played Tua instead of Kyler.

Also McGinnity just chose poorly with his WR2, TE and FLEX spots. Gave Davis only had 1.8 points. Davis had 16.8 in week one, but since then he has missed a game and totaled seven points in weeks three and four. I already talked about Kittle. Rashod Bateman scored 3.2 points.

On his bench he had Robert Woods had 11.0 points, Jahan Dotson had 11.8 points and Raheem Mostert scored 9.1 points. Those three options would have gotten him to roughly 124 points, and so it call comes back to the Detroit defense.

The MVP of this matchup is early week NFL games that set the tone for your week in fantasy. Imagine waking up Friday morning and seeing a player score a crap ton of points. Imagine then waking up on Sunday and watching your WR1 go off in London and give your team a 46.9-0 lead before the rest of the games even kicked off.

McGinnity falls to 1-3 while Tom improves to 3-1.

Country Roads Take Mahomes (137.66) defeats Lights, Kamara, Jackson (129.16)

The two Simon brothers are both 3-1. How about them apples.

Jimmy went into Sunday night trailing, but Patrick Mahomes being super human and completing turn-around jump shots gave him enough for the victory. Jimmy knew he had to be in good shape when Kelce scored a touchdown 40 seconds into the game.

But let’s get real. Jimmy won this matchup against Ronan due in large part to one man, and one man only. It is not hard. T.J. Hockenson is the MVP. 35.9 points from a tight end, who was not even considered a tier one tight end at the start of the season. That is very easy choice for me and Jimmy should be thanking his stars that he chose to play him over Pat Freiermuth.

This is the second time the Lions are involved in the MVP of the week for a matchup. It could arguably have been three, but when a game has a total of 93 total points, that will get lots of interested parties very happy.

Looking at this contest, Ronan has to be a bit perturbed because he had a good week. He did everything right. He overshot his projected total even with Lamar Jackson scoring just 13.06 points. That was made up for by Josh Jacobs going OFF for 32 points. If you showed Ronan at 129.16 point total, he would probably be okay with that.

Now if I am Ronan, do you butt your head against the wall and hate the fact you played Lamar over Russell Wilson and if he had played the Denver QB he would have won? No, you can not beat yourself up over that. Lamar was the right play, it was just bad luck. That is fantasy football.

Now, If one where to nit-pick Ronan, he played Cordarrelle Patterson when he was banged up and had to leave the game early and below on his bench he had Clyde Edwards-Helaire who put forward a massive 21.9 point effort. Nobody would have guessed he would have 19 rushes for 92 yards. By far his highest rush total of the season. Edwards-Helaire usually has multiple receptions to get his point total up, but this was an anomaly.

But alas, none of it was enough for Ronan. Jimmy used Hockenson and rode him to a fantasy win, even with his RB1 being hurt, another fellow lion, D’Andre Swift.

There have been so many Detroit Lions mentions in this recap. Way more than I ever would have expected.

Ronan falls to 1-3 despite solid scoring but Jimmy is joyous to improve to 3-1.

Week 5 Matchups

The Bourne Supremacy (2-2) vs. Keke, Coutee Luv Me (2-2)
Ooooo Jeudy James Jeudy (1-3) vs. Hotel, Motel, Golladay Inn (3-1)
Ek’s Gonna Give It To Ya (3-1) vs. My Worst Etiennemy (2-2)
Lights, Kamara, Jackson (1-3) vs. Dirty Mike And The Boys (0-4)
Country Roads Take Mahomes (3-1) vs. My Glockz Out (3-1)

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